Posts tagged…Trade Framework

Are the BRICS ready to lead?

Wed, Jan 20 2010

BRICS graphic from the FT

Reflecting on the greater influence of the BRICS, recently, in global forums, the always-interesting Alan Beattie asks:

"Is this a pivot point such as the second world war, where the confident, innovative US muscled aside the weakened, debt-laden economies of Europe and remade the global financial architecture? " Extract from FT.com

His guess? "No, not yet". He points out the BRICS are…

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U.S. looks for a ‘critical mass’ climate deal

Fri, Jan 15 2010

There is absolutely nothing new in U.S. exasperation with the United Nations and its overblown processes. This statement from the deputy U.S. climate envoy recalls the responses of thousands of technocrats exposed for the first time to the diplomatic morass; for decades, we've heard something similar from every new Administration.

"Pershing said the flaws in the UN process, which demands…

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Elaborating the Ag. travesty

Thu, Jan 14 2010

It is difficult to believe that the complex, weak, confusing, rent-preserving, ponderous white-elephant being proposed for an agreement on agriculture in the WTO Doha negotiations could be more bloated or further compromised…but that's exactly what seems to be happening.

According to a report* from ITCSD, developing countries and the EU want to further slow the pace of change where opening…

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Lamy’s assessment of Copenhagen

Thu, Jan 14 2010

It's called whistling in the wind.

"The outcome of the conference in Copenhagen represents a step forward. The Kyoto Protocol addresses about 30% of global carbon emissions. In contrast, the framework accord hammered out in Copenhagen last week may encompass the majority of world emissions. " Extract from WTO | 2009 News items - Lamy praises Copenhagen efforts, calls for more to be done

The…

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Multilateralism not a ‘single undertaking’

Wed, Jan 06 2010

More commentary—this time from the President of the U.S. Council on Foreign Relations—on the significance of the Copenhagen meeting as one of the first signs of whatever-it-turns-out-to-be that follows the pax atlantica

"Multilateralism in the 21st century is, like the century itself, likely to be more fluid and, at times, messy than what we are used to." Extract from Richard Haass in the Cheering for ‘democracy’ Tue, Jan 05 2010

Rachman—who's normally pretty astute—assesses the emblematic events in Copenhagen as a blow to the U.S. program of 'spreading democracy'.

"As emerging global powers and developing nations, Brazil, India, South Africa and Turkey may often feel they have more in common with a rising China than with the democratic US." Extract from Gideon Rachman in the Financial Times

Although I share his sense…

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How the deal was done

Mon, Dec 28 2009

BASIC group meets with Obama in Copenhagen

Official Chinese account of the negotiation of the accord at Copenhagen, emphasising, of course, their own role:

The Copenhagen conference has put China on a higher and broader world stage. China has reason to be proud and China will work even harder! Verdant mountains cannot stop water flowing; eastward the water keeps on going.

The report provides a detailed account of Premier Wen's movements…

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Global governance in the aughties

Sun, Dec 27 2009

First, bodice-ripping as political theory

"We live in an era in which unprecedented globalization and economic interdependence, liberal-democratic hegemony, nanotechnology, robotic warfare, the 'infosphere,' nuclear proliferation and geoengineering solutions to climate change coexist with the return of powerful autocratic-capitalist states, of a new Great Game in Central Asia, of imperialism in…

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Plurilateralism… get used to it

Sun, Dec 20 2009
Churchill and Roosevelt aboard the HMS Prince of Wales

Unless you've been asleep since the mid-1930s (when the League of Nations fell apart), the failures of the UN Climate Convention in Copenhagen or the World Trade Organization in Geneva to reach agreement should come as no surprise.

It's not the end of the world (or even of multilateralism) but it's an historic moment, all the same. I suspect it marks the iconic end of the pax atlantica; the…

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Another small step

Fri, Jul 03 2009

But it's impossible to ignore the significance of this continuing internationalization of the remminbi.

"Although it has no short-term implications for the full convertibility of the renminbi, the announcement provides ballast to the volley of political signals Beijing has been sending in recent months over its dissatisfaction with the US dollar." Extract from Financial Times

Critical mass agreement vs the Doha Round

Thu, Jul 02 2009

Projected welfare impacts of a CM agreement on agriculture

We'll cut to the chase, shall we, in this fourth of my posts on modeling the impact of a 'critical mass' agreement in agriculture? Click on the tags at the left-side or at the bottom of this article to find the earlier posts.

A 'critical mass' agreement among 38 countries that account for 80 percent of world trade in the 30 top-traded agricultural products (all of them food) to eliminate import…

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Opening food markets in a CM agreement

Wed, Jun 24 2009

Breughel Banquet

The immediate net global gains from a 'Critical Mass' (CM) trade agreement to open markets for some 30 products in 38 of the world's largest markets would be about $10 billion. World trade in these products would expand by a third with most of the export gains won by developing countries.

This is the third post in a series of five intended to share with you the results of some simulations of an…

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