Simple deductions about climate change

The UK Met Office (which has been unable to predict British weather recently) now claims to be certain about climate.

"The fingerprint of human influence has been detected in many different aspects of observed climate changes,” said Peter Stott, head of climate monitoring at the Met Office Hadley Centre for Climate Research. “Natural variability, from the sun, volcanic eruptions or natural cycles, cannot explain recent warming" Extract from FT.com (emphasis added)

This sort of mad assertion—reminscent of the IPCC's origninal claims that there could be no explanation other than man-made CO₂ emissions—makes a claim so broad that it would not be feasible to establish its truth. Some climate scientists may like to pretend that they can detect a cause by simple forensics ('fingerprints'), but if that is so, let them show us the success of their predictions.

Climate is a complex, chaotic system, whose course has not been modelled successfully despited decades of attempts by well-funded institutions such as NOAA, the Met Office and the CSIRO. Not even one model has successfully accounted for the path of warming since 2000 nor do any of the IPCC models succeed even in backcasting the path of warming before 1990.

In the face of the evident failure of current models to produce confirmed projections, god-like pronouncements such as these beggar credulity.

Tags for this entry: climate carbon emissions model